Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 381.439977 432.787098 489.676714 557.586935 636.712339 726.310489 835.894406
2025-12-14 301.757212 368.254577 448.484909 553.230253 687.565729 855.679665 1084.530326
2025-12-21 251.169626 320.646880 409.057937 531.272848 698.130776 921.341535 1248.287250
2025-12-28 229.441600 304.424017 404.324432 549.508164 759.066027 1056.827628 1523.476849
2026-01-04 214.051284 293.612776 403.927912 571.467924 825.609522 1207.016122 1843.253135
2026-01-11 196.092357 276.585553 392.009697 574.020680 862.210242 1315.916163 2115.983028
2026-01-18 177.459113 256.295226 372.631009 562.110599 873.530874 1384.910393 2332.561060
2026-01-25 161.918931 238.889413 355.457899 551.007195 883.647558 1451.741475 2554.996064
2026-02-01 154.244689 232.622248 354.553372 565.503901 937.584166 1600.167211 2953.692486
2026-02-08 144.122789 221.493933 344.677975 563.581675 962.149718 1698.674753 3273.132862
2026-02-15 134.407560 210.129207 333.256837 557.505760 977.981375 1782.329870 3577.179446
2026-02-22 127.515601 202.781981 327.776752 561.128534 1011.907915 1905.295176 3989.469690
2026-03-01 118.722810 191.732140 315.320226 551.319006 1019.887398 1979.557702 4313.877574
2026-03-08 111.701378 183.185231 306.527400 547.472615 1039.343390 2081.158048 4727.179465
2026-03-15 102.719857 170.532253 289.343051 525.720098 1019.247312 2093.631182 4921.405718
2026-03-22 100.210170 169.123881 292.376764 543.741797 1084.920278 2308.326162 5692.112379
2026-03-29 98.317930 168.649838 297.036191 565.431439 1161.416057 2561.414956 6636.909382
2026-04-05 94.133345 163.635829 292.656314 567.952999 1195.205744 2716.950605 7344.123147
2026-04-12 88.597598 155.710135 282.032912 556.189060 1194.416208 2785.378730 7805.684345
2026-04-19 83.597068 148.472241 272.219702 545.221472 1194.151022 2855.240792 8292.034684
2026-04-26 81.695452 147.050126 273.851479 559.540771 1257.186955 3105.751670 9454.998374
2026-05-03 78.241002 142.365832 268.510603 557.642112 1279.495239 3247.683438 10286.397112
2026-05-10 74.627314 137.138336 261.670229 551.640602 1290.535730 3359.486040 11044.818844